Expansion of the National Amyloidosis Centre staging system to detect early mortality in transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis

Aims: Transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CA) is stratified into prognostic categories using the National Amyloidosis Centre (NAC) staging system. The aims of this study were to further expand the existing NAC staging system to incorporate an additional disease stage that would identify patients at high risk of early mortality. Methods and results: The traditional NAC staging system (stage 1: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP] ≤3000 ng/L and estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] ≥45 ml/min; stage 3: NT-proBNP >3000 ng/L and eGFR <45 ml/min; stage 2: remainder) was expanded by the introduction of a new stage 4 (defined as NT-proBNP ≥10 000 ng/L irrespective of eGFR) and studied in 2042 patients. The optimal NT-proBNP cut-point was established using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves in the subgroup of patients with NAC stage 3 disease. Mortality at 1 year according to NAC stage was 2.3% (n = 20/886) for stage 1, 8.8% (n = 62/706) for stage 2, 10.4% (n = 28/270) for stage 3, and 30.6% (n = 55/180) for stage 4 (log-rank p < 0.001). After adjustment for age, mortality hazard for stage 4 was >15-fold higher than that of stage 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 15.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.3-26.1) and >3-fold higher than that of stage 3 (HR 3.4; 95% CI 2.2-5.4). The increased risk of early mortality was consistent across the different genotypes and subclasses of patients based on the severity of heart failure symptoms and echocardiographic parameters. Conclusions: The proposed modification of the NAC staging system identifies patients with ATTR-CA at a high risk of early mortality, who may benefit from a more intensive treatment strategy, and who are most likely to experience an event early in the course of a clinical trial.